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The Swedish peace research institute SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute) has presented its latest figures on the international arms trade: According to this, states in Europe increased their imports of large weapons systems in the five-year period 2019-2023 compared to the previous half decade 2014-2018 with an increase of 94 percent almost doubled. This happened primarily under the impression of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine since February 2022.

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The USA is by far Europe's most important weapons supplier for complex weapons systems (here an F-35A from the 32nd Squadron (“Stormo”) of the Italian Air Force). (Photo: Portugall)

Conversely, the United States increased its arms exports by 17 percent between 2014-2018 and 2019-2023, and its share of total global arms exports rose from 34 percent to 42 percent. The USA delivered major weapons systems to 107 of the world's 196 countries in 2019-2023. According to Mathew George, director of the SIPRI arms transfer program, the United States has “expanded its global role as an arms supplier – an important aspect of its foreign policy – ​​and exported more weapons to more countries than ever before.”

“More than half of European countries’ arms imports,” added SIPRI director Dan Smith, “comes from the United States, while at the same time Europe is responsible for about a third of global arms exports, including large quantities that go outside the region reflects Europe's strong military-industrial capacity. Many factors influence the decisions of European NATO countries to import from the USA, including the aim of maintaining transatlantic relations alongside the more technical, military and cost-related issues.” This comes not least against the background of European concerns about a second term in office Donald Trump's.

France's growth rate in arms exports between 2014-2018 and 2019-2023 was 47 percent, almost three times as high as that of the USA. This meant that for the first time the Fifth Republic came in second place as the world's largest arms exporter, closely followed by Russia. “France is seizing the opportunity of strong global demand to boost its defense industry through exports,” said Katarina Djokic, a researcher at SIPRI. According to the political scientist, France has been particularly successful in selling its “Rafale” fighter jets outside of Europe. The customers here include India, Qatar and Egypt.

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Russia has switched to a war economy (here Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu [front in uniform] is visiting the production hall of a defense factory in Yekaterinburg on the Urals).
(Photo: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation)
Auch wenn Deutschland 2019-2023 mit einem Anteil von 5,6 Prozent weltweit auf Platz fünf der Waffenexporteure liegt, sind seine Rüstungsausfuhren zum vorherigen Vergleichszeitraum um 14 Prozent zurückgegangen. Zwar landete die Bundesrepublik mit ihren Waffenexporten an europäische Staaten mit einem Anteil von 6,4 Prozent auf Platz zwei, jedoch weit abgeschlagen hinter den auf Platz eins befindlichen USA, die einen Exportanteil von enormen 55 Prozent verbuchen konnten. Frankreich folgt mit einem Anteil von 4,6 Prozent bei den Rüstungslieferungen für europäische Staaten.

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Effects of the Ukrainian War

Between 2019 and 2023, the attacked Ukraine unsurprisingly became the largest European arms importer and the fourth largest in the world. Since February 2022, at least 30 countries have been supplying important weapons as military aid to the invaded country. During this period, the USA gave the most weapons to Ukraine at 39 percent, followed by Germany with 14 percent and Poland with 13 percent.

Russia's arms exports fell by 53 percent between 2014-2018 and 2019-2023. This decline is most likely due to the increased domestic need for armaments due to the attack on Ukraine. While Russia exported important weapons to 31 countries in 2019, in 2023 it was only 12 countries, with India and communist China being the largest buyers.

The data for the other world regions can be seen here:Trends in International Arms Transfers, 2023 (sipri.org).

dr Gerd Portugall